Tag: Carol Bartz

Yahoo: Let’s Make a Deal

As Google, Microsoft and other potential suitors continue to explore the idea of buying Yahoo, the question remains: Who would benefit most from such a purchase, and why? 

According to Wharton marketing professor Eric T. Bradlow, co-director of the Wharton Customer Analytics Initiative (WCAI), Google, with its prior acquisition of DoubleClick, “would have a unique opportunity to utilize its in-house technology to monetize Yahoo’s installed base. Revenue on the Internet is still driven by traffic, which is a function of having unique and important content.” DoubleClick, purchased in March 2008, provides ad management and related services for buyers and sellers of digital media advertising.

Google could also bring its recently launched social networking Google+ to Yahoo’s audience of nearly 700 million unique visitors, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal. In addition, Google would benefit from Yahoo’s relationships with content publishers like ABC News.

Kevin Werbach, Wharton professor of legal studies and business ethics, states that while Yahoo’s massive user base makes it valuable as a whole to acquirers, “the user benefits really come from the individual Yahoo offerings that are differentiated or have well-developed communities.”

Google is in talks with private equity investors to buy Yahoo’s core business, while Microsoft plans to invest “several billions of dollars” in loans to potential bid partners and preferred equity in Yahoo, the Journal report says. Yahoo and Microsoft already have a 10-year search partnership signed in 2009, a year after U.S. antitrust regulators frowned on a proposed Google-Yahoo partnership for web search advertising. Chinese Internet firm Alibaba Group Holdings, in which Yahoo has a 40% equity stake, has also shown interest in buying Yahoo, but has not yet made a formal offer.

If Microsoft’s strategy is successful, it may also push to integrate Skype, the Internet communications service it recently bought, into Yahoo, says a New York Times report. Already, Microsoft’s Bing search engine allows Yahoo to sell ads against responses to user queries.

The “basic question,” says Werbach, is whether Yahoo today is more valuable as a whole or in parts. “Any new owner of Yahoo must choose whether to extract as much revenue as it can from the existing platform, or to re-energize Yahoo as a distinct competitor. The second option would be better for Yahoo’s users, but it’s riskier for potential investors.”

Bradlow notes that while Yahoo has struggled in some ways, it has continued to provide content that attracts millions of unique visitors on a daily basis, especially “a very monetizable set of customers.” Yahoo’s visitors “tend to be heavier-than-average buyers of products and services, and provide a valuable audience for targeted advertiser content,” he adds. Yahoo’s news arm reported 81.2 million unique visitors in August, making it the biggest online news site, the Times report said.

Yahoo reportedly sought out potential investors after firing its chief executive, Carol Bartz, in September. Bartz made way for Yahoo CFO Tim Morse to become interim CEO after a study of Yahoo’s assets and performance by independent directors concluded that the company was not performing as well as it could. Yahoo is “still basically playing out the Internet portal model that it pioneered in the 1990s,” Werbach told Knowledge@Wharton Today at the time, adding then that “Morse, or whoever takes over as the permanent CEO, needs to make a major strategic decision: Sell the company or bet big on a big idea.”

Price could be a major sticking point as Yahoo’s suitors cobble together a deal, according to the Times. “Private equity firms have indicated they are unwilling to pay much more than Yahoo’s current market value of $20 billion, arguing that the stock price already includes the expectation of a sale,” the article says.

Putting the right price tag on Yahoo may be a tough call, but the space it operates in offers advertisers a value they cannot ignore. “What social media has allowed companies to do is listen to customers in real time,” said Bradlow in a recent Knowledge@Wharton interview. “You think about the biggest problem companies have: What is it? It’s customer defection and churn. You know why? Because you spend a huge amount of money on acquisition costs, [but] many customers don’t stay around long enough” to justify that expense.

 

 

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The ‘Morse Code’ at Yahoo: Bet Big, or Die

Tim Morse, Yahoo’s new interim CEO, needs to sharpen his focus on two things to right his embattled company, according to Kevin Werbach, Wharton professor of legal studies and business ethics. The company must “become relevant again in the Internet market and have a viable, differentiated long-term business model,” says Werbach, who studies digital convergence and innovation, among other subjects. Morse, 42, stepped up from his previous role as chief financial officer on Tuesday after Yahoo’s chairman fired CEO Carol Bartz over the phone.

Bartz, 62, had little more than a year left on her contract since taking over as CEO in 2009. Sunnyvale, Calif.-based Yahoo had hired her on the strength of her successful runs at Sun Microsystems and software maker Autodesk. But a recent study of Yahoo’s assets and performance conducted by independent directors “concluded the company wasn’t performing as well as it could,” according to a Wall Street Journal report. Visitors spent 33% fewer minutes per month on Yahoo’s U.S. website since Bartz became CEO, the report said, citing comScore data.

“The company is still basically playing out the Internet portal model that it pioneered in the 1990s,” says Werbach. “Morse, or whoever takes over as the permanent CEO, needs to make a major strategic decision: Sell the company or bet big on a big idea. Just managing effectively on the current trajectory is a path toward a death spiral.” Yahoo has, over time, been courted by potential acquirers, but no deal has come close to completion.

Kartik Hosanagar, Wharton professor of operations and information management, doesn’t believe Yahoo is reaching its end. He points out that the company reported more than $6 billion in revenues and more than $1 billion in profits last year. Yet, the company “is not going anywhere,” he says. “The major issue is that [its] growth is lagging the industry, especially [that of] Google, Facebook, etc.”

Hosanagar suggests that Yahoo should go back to its roots in media products. “It needs to come out with a new compelling product that is not an effort to catch up with Google or Facebook or anyone else, but instead is revolutionary. It should think about how to create that culture of innovation within and find that spark that resulted in Yahoo being formed in the first place.” Efforts to catch up or beat Google at search or email, or to compete with Facebook in social marketing, “will be misguided,” he notes.

One of Morse’s top challenges will be to decide whether or not to sell Yahoo’s 40% equity stake in Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba Group. Bartz had resisted Alibaba’s efforts to buy back that stake, for which Yahoo paid $1 billion six years ago. Investment analysts suggest that Morse should retain Yahoo’s Alibaba stake, especially because of the potential upside from a possible listing of Alibaba’s popular online shopping site, Taobao, according to a Bloomberg News report. Bartz courted controversy in May when Alibaba sold control of its online payment company to a group controlled by Alibaba’s CEO. “The Alibaba debacle made investors insecure about whether or not the crown jewel (Alibaba) will stay with Yahoo or not,” Hosanagar says.

Hosanagar notes that Bartz seemed focused on financial and organizational re-engineering. That “was fine to an extent … but she never successfully positioned herself as an innovative CEO who is seeking to bring new products and services to consumers.”

Bartz clearly didn’t have many friends on Wall Street. Yahoo’s shares rose more than 6% to $13.70 in after-hours trading on news of her exit. To be fair, the Journal story says Bartz got some credit inside the company for overhauling the organizational structure and challenging practices she thought were slowing things down. But she apparently made some wrong calls on the company’s U.S. ad sales campaign and in facing up to competition, the Journal adds.

Morse has sufficient momentum to build on, says Werbach, pointing to Yahoo’s “valuable assets, lots of users and some very talented people.” Yahoo needs to find a strong future strategy if it wants to remain an independent company, he adds. “The very few large tech companies that have successfully turned around [such as IBM and Apple] had long-term visions that played to their unique strengths.”

Some of that sounds familiar: Yahoo needs focus, according to Wharton experts who offered advice to Bartz in a January 2009 Knowledge@Wharton article. “Yahoo is this odd company that is part search, part technology and part media,” Kendall Whitehouse, Wharton’s director of new media, told K@W. The company “needs to pick one or two of those parts.”

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